# Sephiroth vs Mario vs Link vs Vincent Valentine 2007

_source: Sephiroth vs Mario vs Link vs Vincent Valentine 2007 (revid 66880)_

## Results

**Round Four**

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

## Ulti's Analysis

- **Round:** Quarter Final
- **Match \#:** 58
- **Match Date:** Tuesday, October 30th, 2007
- **Oracle Expectations:** Link - 39.16% Sephiroth - 28.98% Mario - 17.86% Vincent - 13.92%
- **GameFAQs Expectations:** Link first place (16pts) - 22.25% Link second place (8pts) - 48.09% Sephiroth second place (16pts) - 15.06% Sephiroth first place (8pts) - 46.91%
- **Advancing Prediction:** Link - 70.34% (25,832) Sephiroth - 61.97% (22,758)

Vincent's reward for upsetting Crono was.... Sephiroth. Goodbye, Vincent. "Ouch" doesn't really cut it here.

This was our second straight boring quarterfinal match, since everyone knew going in Sephiroth would outdo Mario thanks to Link being in the poll. What was unexpected however was Mario holding his own for a bit. He didn't come close to being in second or anything, but the early parts of the poll were still pretty fun. Mario also clearly weakened Link in this poll, to the point where removing Vincent and adding in a non-Nintendo/Square character could have potentially allowed Sephiroth to sneak into first place.

This was the first time all contest where Link looked at all vulnerable, which gave the people who picked Cloud \> Link in the final some hope.

Fun with numbers:

Final Fantasy 7 - 59910

Link - 52795

## Stats and Analysis

what looked to be a boring quarterfinal match turned up with an unexpected twist: Mario. in 2006's battle royale, Mario got *trashed* by Link being in the poll, finishing a distant fifth and not doing all that much better than Samus. in this match, though, Mario stood up to Link early, went pretty even with Sephiroth despite Link being in the poll, and had a pretty impressive first hour. he fell off pretty hard after that, but there was some talk that he'd do as bad as Vincent Valentine, and that clearly didn't happen.

the main thing we looked at here was Nintendo's votes vs. FF7's votes -- 58.5 to 41.5. Cloud had a tough task ahead of him if he was going to beat Link.

## Match Trends

## External Links

- [Match Updates](http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2920&num=4)
- [Guru Match Predictions](http://www.thengamer.com/guru/stats.php?match=58)
- [Oracle Match Results](http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k7&type=match&match=58)

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