Pool: Character · Game · Series · Rivalry · Year
Rating: Binary (P more votes) | Vote share | Vote share (tuned)
X-axis:
By date|
By match #
View individually:
Link · Cloud Strife · Samus Aran · Solid Snake · Mario · Sephiroth · Mega Man · Crono
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Link | vs. Cloud Strife | vs. Samus Aran | vs. Solid Snake | vs. Mario | vs. Sephiroth | vs. Mega Man | vs. Crono |
|---|
| Link (1,946) |
— |
67% |
75% |
75% |
76% |
79% |
80% |
81% |
|---|
| Cloud Strife (1,821) |
33% |
— |
59% |
59% |
61% |
64% |
66% |
67% |
|---|
| Samus Aran (1,759) |
25% |
41% |
— |
50% |
52% |
56% |
58% |
59% |
|---|
| Solid Snake (1,758) |
25% |
41% |
50% |
— |
52% |
56% |
58% |
59% |
|---|
| Mario (1,746) |
24% |
39% |
48% |
48% |
— |
54% |
56% |
57% |
|---|
| Sephiroth (1,719) |
21% |
36% |
44% |
44% |
46% |
— |
52% |
53% |
|---|
| Mega Man (1,702) |
20% |
34% |
42% |
42% |
44% |
48% |
— |
51% |
|---|
| Crono (1,696) |
19% |
33% |
41% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
49% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the Elo rating gap
(1 / (1 + 10^((Rb − Ra) / 400))).
This is a win probability, not a predicted share of the vote. Each rating is the entrant’s most recent value, which is not necessarily as of the same date — an entrant who last competed years ago carries a rating frozen from then.