Pool: Character · Game · Series · Rivalry · Year
Rating: Binary (P more votes) | Vote share | Vote share (tuned)
X-axis:
By date|
By match #
View individually:
Link vs. Ganondorf · Mario vs. Bowser · Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue · Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth · Mega Man X vs. Zero · Samus Aran vs. Ridley · Alucard vs. Dracula · Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Link vs. Ganondorf | vs. Mario vs. Bowser | vs. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue | vs. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth | vs. Mega Man X vs. Zero | vs. Samus Aran vs. Ridley | vs. Alucard vs. Dracula | vs. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy |
|---|
| Link vs. Ganondorf (1,596) |
— |
55% |
57% |
57% |
59% |
59% |
59% |
59% |
|---|
| Mario vs. Bowser (1,564) |
45% |
— |
52% |
52% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
|---|
| Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue (1,548) |
43% |
48% |
— |
50% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth (1,548) |
43% |
48% |
50% |
— |
52% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Mega Man X vs. Zero (1,532) |
41% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
— |
50% |
50% |
50% |
|---|
| Samus Aran vs. Ridley (1,532) |
41% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
50% |
— |
50% |
50% |
|---|
| Alucard vs. Dracula (1,532) |
41% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
50% |
50% |
— |
50% |
|---|
| Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy (1,532) |
41% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
50% |
50% |
50% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the Elo rating gap
(1 / (1 + 10^((Rb − Ra) / 400))).
This is a win probability, not a predicted share of the vote. Each rating is the entrant’s most recent value, which is not necessarily as of the same date — an entrant who last competed years ago carries a rating frozen from then.