Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Rivalry Rumble (2011).
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
|---|
| Link vs. Ganondorf |
50.00 |
#1 of 64 |
| Mario vs. Bowser |
42.28 |
#2 of 64 |
| Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth |
41.74 |
#3 of 64 |
| Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue |
36.87 |
#4 of 64 |
| Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake |
30.41 |
#5 of 64 |
| Ryu vs. Ken |
27.99 |
#6 of 64 |
| Samus Aran vs. Ridley |
27.55 |
#7 of 64 |
| Mega Man X vs. Zero |
26.81 |
#8 of 64 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Link vs. Ganondorf | vs. Mario vs. Bowser | vs. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth | vs. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue | vs. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake | vs. Ryu vs. Ken | vs. Samus Aran vs. Ridley | vs. Mega Man X vs. Zero |
|---|
| Link vs. Ganondorf (50.00) |
— |
58% |
58% |
63% |
70% |
72% |
72% |
73% |
|---|
| Mario vs. Bowser (42.28) |
42% |
— |
51% |
56% |
63% |
65% |
66% |
67% |
|---|
| Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth (41.74) |
42% |
49% |
— |
55% |
62% |
65% |
65% |
66% |
|---|
| Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue (36.87) |
37% |
44% |
45% |
— |
57% |
60% |
61% |
61% |
|---|
| Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake (30.41) |
30% |
37% |
38% |
43% |
— |
53% |
53% |
54% |
|---|
| Ryu vs. Ken (27.99) |
28% |
35% |
35% |
40% |
47% |
— |
51% |
51% |
|---|
| Samus Aran vs. Ridley (27.55) |
28% |
34% |
35% |
39% |
47% |
49% |
— |
51% |
|---|
| Mega Man X vs. Zero (26.81) |
27% |
33% |
34% |
39% |
46% |
49% |
49% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Rivalry Rumble (2011)’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.