Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Best Game Ever (2015).
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
| Undertale |
50.00 |
#1 of 128 |
| Mass Effect 3 |
49.05 |
#2 of 128 |
| Super Smash Bros. Melee |
48.80 |
#3 of 128 |
| Super Mario 64 |
48.67 |
#4 of 128 |
| Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow |
48.48 |
#5 of 128 |
| Chrono Trigger |
48.04 |
#6 of 128 |
| Super Mario World |
45.16 |
#7 of 128 |
| Fallout 3 |
44.26 |
#8 of 128 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Undertale | vs. Mass Effect 3 | vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee | vs. Super Mario 64 | vs. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow | vs. Chrono Trigger | vs. Super Mario World | vs. Fallout 3 |
| Undertale (50.00) |
— |
51% |
51% |
51% |
52% |
52% |
55% |
56% |
| Mass Effect 3 (49.05) |
49% |
— |
50% |
50% |
51% |
51% |
54% |
55% |
| Super Smash Bros. Melee (48.80) |
49% |
50% |
— |
50% |
50% |
51% |
54% |
55% |
| Super Mario 64 (48.67) |
49% |
50% |
50% |
— |
50% |
51% |
54% |
54% |
| Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow (48.48) |
48% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
— |
50% |
53% |
54% |
| Chrono Trigger (48.04) |
48% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
50% |
— |
53% |
54% |
| Super Mario World (45.16) |
45% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
— |
51% |
| Fallout 3 (44.26) |
44% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
49% |
— |
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Best Game Ever (2015)’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.