Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Game of the Decade 2 (2020).
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
|---|
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild |
50.00 |
#1 of 128 |
| The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt |
44.06 |
#2 of 128 |
| The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim |
39.00 |
#3 of 128 |
| Persona 5 |
37.72 |
#4 of 128 |
| Dark Souls |
36.48 |
#5 of 128 |
| Super Mario Galaxy 2 |
33.87 |
#6 of 128 |
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate |
32.24 |
#7 of 128 |
| Mass Effect 2 |
31.67 |
#8 of 128 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild | vs. The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt | vs. The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim | vs. Persona 5 | vs. Dark Souls | vs. Super Mario Galaxy 2 | vs. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate | vs. Mass Effect 2 |
|---|
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (50.00) |
— |
56% |
61% |
62% |
64% |
66% |
68% |
68% |
|---|
| The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (44.06) |
44% |
— |
55% |
57% |
58% |
61% |
62% |
63% |
|---|
| The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim (39.00) |
39% |
45% |
— |
51% |
53% |
56% |
57% |
58% |
|---|
| Persona 5 (37.72) |
38% |
43% |
49% |
— |
51% |
54% |
56% |
57% |
|---|
| Dark Souls (36.48) |
36% |
42% |
47% |
49% |
— |
53% |
55% |
55% |
|---|
| Super Mario Galaxy 2 (33.87) |
34% |
39% |
44% |
46% |
47% |
— |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (32.24) |
32% |
38% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
48% |
— |
51% |
|---|
| Mass Effect 2 (31.67) |
32% |
37% |
42% |
43% |
45% |
48% |
49% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Game of the Decade 2 (2020)’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.