Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Spring 2004 Game Contest.
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
|---|
| Final Fantasy VII |
50.00 |
#1 of 64 |
| The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time |
46.18 |
#2 of 64 |
| Chrono Trigger |
41.76 |
#3 of 64 |
| The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past |
41.58 |
#4 of 64 |
| Super Mario Bros. 3 |
39.61 |
#5 of 64 |
| Final Fantasy VI |
39.02 |
#6 of 64 |
| Super Smash Bros. Melee |
37.57 |
#7 of 64 |
| Starcraft |
37.31 |
#8 of 64 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Final Fantasy VII | vs. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time | vs. Chrono Trigger | vs. The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past | vs. Super Mario Bros. 3 | vs. Final Fantasy VI | vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee | vs. Starcraft |
|---|
| Final Fantasy VII (50.00) |
— |
54% |
58% |
58% |
60% |
61% |
62% |
63% |
|---|
| The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (46.18) |
46% |
— |
54% |
55% |
57% |
57% |
59% |
59% |
|---|
| Chrono Trigger (41.76) |
42% |
46% |
— |
50% |
52% |
53% |
54% |
55% |
|---|
| The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past (41.58) |
42% |
45% |
50% |
— |
52% |
53% |
54% |
54% |
|---|
| Super Mario Bros. 3 (39.61) |
40% |
43% |
48% |
48% |
— |
51% |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Final Fantasy VI (39.02) |
39% |
43% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
— |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Super Smash Bros. Melee (37.57) |
38% |
41% |
46% |
46% |
48% |
48% |
— |
50% |
|---|
| Starcraft (37.31) |
37% |
41% |
45% |
46% |
48% |
48% |
50% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Spring 2004 Game Contest’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.