Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Summer 2004 Character Contest.
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
|---|
| Link |
50.00 |
#1 of 64 |
| Cloud Strife |
48.18 |
#2 of 64 |
| Sephiroth |
42.21 |
#3 of 64 |
| Samus Aran |
39.24 |
#4 of 64 |
| Crono |
37.18 |
#5 of 64 |
| Mario |
34.20 |
#6 of 64 |
| Mega Man |
32.39 |
#7 of 64 |
| Sonic the Hedgehog |
32.30 |
#8 of 64 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Link | vs. Cloud Strife | vs. Sephiroth | vs. Samus Aran | vs. Crono | vs. Mario | vs. Mega Man | vs. Sonic the Hedgehog |
|---|
| Link (50.00) |
— |
52% |
58% |
61% |
63% |
66% |
68% |
68% |
|---|
| Cloud Strife (48.18) |
48% |
— |
56% |
59% |
61% |
64% |
66% |
66% |
|---|
| Sephiroth (42.21) |
42% |
44% |
— |
53% |
55% |
58% |
60% |
60% |
|---|
| Samus Aran (39.24) |
39% |
41% |
47% |
— |
52% |
55% |
57% |
58% |
|---|
| Crono (37.18) |
37% |
39% |
45% |
48% |
— |
53% |
55% |
55% |
|---|
| Mario (34.20) |
34% |
36% |
42% |
45% |
47% |
— |
52% |
52% |
|---|
| Mega Man (32.39) |
32% |
34% |
40% |
43% |
45% |
48% |
— |
50% |
|---|
| Sonic the Hedgehog (32.30) |
32% |
34% |
40% |
42% |
45% |
48% |
50% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Summer 2004 Character Contest’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.