Pick entrants from a single contest to see them side by side, plus an
estimated head-to-head. This works because entrants picked from the same
contest come from the same fit and share the same rating scale.
Contest: SC2K2 · SC2K3 · Spring 2K4 · SC2K4 · Spring 2K5 · SC2K5 · BSE2K6 · CB2K6 · CB VI · CB VII · BGE 2K9 · CB VIII · GOTD · Rivalry · CB IX · BGE 2K15 · Best Year · CB X · GOTD 2
Compare the top 8
in Summer 2005 Character Contest.
| Entrant | Luce rating | Rank |
|---|
| Link |
50.00 |
#1 of 67 |
| Cloud Strife |
47.56 |
#2 of 67 |
| Sephiroth |
45.06 |
#3 of 67 |
| Mario |
39.12 |
#4 of 67 |
| Crono |
35.51 |
#5 of 67 |
| Mega Man |
34.28 |
#6 of 67 |
| Sonic the Hedgehog |
33.94 |
#7 of 67 |
| Solid Snake |
32.46 |
#8 of 67 |
Estimated head-to-head
| Win probability |
vs. Link | vs. Cloud Strife | vs. Sephiroth | vs. Mario | vs. Crono | vs. Mega Man | vs. Sonic the Hedgehog | vs. Solid Snake |
|---|
| Link (50.00) |
— |
52% |
55% |
61% |
64% |
66% |
66% |
68% |
|---|
| Cloud Strife (47.56) |
48% |
— |
53% |
59% |
62% |
63% |
64% |
65% |
|---|
| Sephiroth (45.06) |
45% |
47% |
— |
56% |
60% |
61% |
61% |
63% |
|---|
| Mario (39.12) |
39% |
41% |
44% |
— |
54% |
55% |
56% |
57% |
|---|
| Crono (35.51) |
36% |
38% |
40% |
46% |
— |
51% |
52% |
53% |
|---|
| Mega Man (34.28) |
34% |
37% |
39% |
45% |
49% |
— |
50% |
52% |
|---|
| Sonic the Hedgehog (33.94) |
34% |
36% |
39% |
44% |
48% |
50% |
— |
52% |
|---|
| Solid Snake (32.46) |
32% |
35% |
37% |
43% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
— |
|---|
Estimated probability the first entrant gets more votes
than the second in a hypothetical head-to-head poll, from the two ratings'
implied odds within Summer 2005 Character Contest’s own fit
(sA / (sA + sB),
where s = rating / (100 − rating)). This is a win
probability, not a predicted share of the vote, and it is only meaningful
because both ratings came from this same contest's fit.